| Party Name | Seats (Current) | Seats Change | Percentage (Current) | Percentage Change | Majority Probability | Minority Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 183 | +23 | 43.6% | +11% | 70.5% | 15.7% |
| Conservative | 138 | +19 | 43.2% | +9.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% |
| Bloc | 14 | -18 | 3.5% | -4.1% | 0% | 0% |
| New Democrat | 6 | -19 | 6.2% | -11.6% | N/A | N/A |
“I’m mad at the Liberals”
NDP support crashes.
“I like this new Liberal guy!”
NDP support crashes.
There’s more to the dynamic than just “Liberals bad”.