According to virtually all the polling, that choice is between Liberal Mark Carney and Conservative Pierre Poilievre. One wants to bring back fiscal prudence; the other, plastic straws.

Remarkably, the Liberals have held a five-to-seven-point lead in the polls from the beginning of the campaign, which they carry into the last, mad dash to the finish line.

In fact, according to the latest Nanos Research survey, Carney now leads Poilievre by six points. Several other polls, including on 338Canada, CBC/The Writ and Mainstreet Research, project a Liberal majority government of between 178 and 189 seats.

  • rebelsimile@sh.itjust.works
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    1 day ago

    Nobody wanted Trudeau, that much is true, but I think Poilievre mistook that to mean that people wanted him, that is not as true.

    • corsicanguppy@lemmy.ca
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      18 hours ago

      Nobody wanted Trudeau

      Meh. I thought Justin’s team did really well in blunting the economic tsunami that came with covid. I think he took a lot of reasonable steps in the right order, or his team did. He stood up for the cameras and said the words he needed, and there was a feeling of communication and openness that wasn’t unilaterally consistent but seemed consistent around covid.

      I think he made some errors - to get a list, just see whatever the cons hyper-focused on in an attempt to find some outrage somewhere - but on balance he did well. His last act, resigning at the right time to give Mr Carney a chance to get in and lay down a personality for the cameras, was also I think well done. And if Justin’s last effort was to show us a decent alternative to Milhouse, then I’ll give him credit for that too.

      I’m sorry to hear people abjectly hating on Trudeau, but honestly my biggest beef with him is the lack of voting reform as planned; but given the pandemic, I’ll take a Status Quo on that then like I will now given the trade war overshadowing it in importance.

    • But_my_mom_says_im_cool@lemmy.world
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      18 hours ago

      I didn’t want JT the last time I voted for him either but I would have voted again to prevent PP from being elected. I can’t think of any other conservative or any politician I’ve disliked as much, i like him less than Harper.

      When asked by volunteers why I won’t vote conservative i said I won’t vote for a party and candidate that uses trump style nicknames like “carbon tax carney”

    • HellsBelle@sh.itjust.worksOP
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      1 day ago

      I find it telling that he doesn’t seem to be able to understand that. It doesn’t say much for his ability to negotiate or switch gears on the fly when needed.

      If nothing else I think Trump, in his selfish way, helped us dodge a .50 cal bullet.

      • Jack_Burton@lemmy.world
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        1 day ago

        Charlie Angus the other day: “Donald Trump, I’m going to say this once—and I might never say it again—I want to thank you. I want to thank you for bringing Canada together.”

        “It took a malignant narcissistic slug like you to make us put aside all our differences—all our regional fights, all our concerns with one another—and realize we actually had to stand up for something better: standing up for the rule of law, for democracy, for decency.”

        Angus went on to hit out at Trump and his “incel gang” who are terrified of diversity, equity and inclusion, adding, “Your DEI nightmare? Well, we are your DEI nightmare, Donald. Canada will always be a country of diversity. We will always be a country of equity. We will always be a country of inclusion. And we will defend the rule of law.”

        Edit: Source

        • brax@sh.itjust.works
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          18 hours ago

          I wish this was true. I still see too much conservative support to believe it. Almost half of this country is clearly still a threat to our sovereignty and identity.

      • SamuelRJankis@sh.itjust.works
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        1 day ago

        For many years places like the Fraser Insistute would point to the USA larger economy and more competitive salaries as why Canada should be copying their policies.

        As usual the progressive arguments needed context like higher proverty rates or underlying social issues which to people that can barely make it past a article title is a largely lost cause. But in 2025 we can pretty just point to the flaming turd that is America and unless people are a special flavor of nuts they just kinda nod.

      • NotSteve_@lemmy.ca
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        22 hours ago

        But he has a new slogan! Axe the inflation tax! It’s genius! It’s so good that this slogan will get people to vote for him, I know it

        • brax@sh.itjust.works
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          18 hours ago

          I never understood the excitement behind scrapping the carbon tax. Especially since it would mean that we’d just get hit with CBAM taxes when dealing with exports to the EU, and even less money coming back into our pockets. But hell yeah, industry gets to save billions while making our air more toxic! Woo!

          • NotSteve_@lemmy.ca
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            18 hours ago

            I actually love how Carney did it to be honest. He got rid of the consumer tax which took the wind out of PP’s sails while keeping the tax on producers so I don’t think we’ll get hit with CBAM (not an expert though)

          • corsicanguppy@lemmy.ca
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            18 hours ago

            I never understood the excitement behind scrapping the carbon tax.

            Conservatives only know one thing: reduces taxes on the rich and drop services for the poor. Trickle-down is their entire schtick, with a bunch of masks.

            • ‘Axe the Tax’? On brand.
            • ‘Axe the GST’? yep.
            • ‘Axe the sales tax on houses’? Their friends need to buy new rental properties.
            • ‘Axe the carbon tax’? Fuck the benefit for the people who need it, fuck the grants for oil&gas alternatives, sorry about the acid rain, wildfires and mudslides.
            • lay off like 7,000 medicos on the eve of covid? Sure. Fuck the plebes.
            • daycares and OAP homes? Fuck the young, fuck the old
            • food safety inspectors? Do-nothing layabouts need to get a job

            Feel that c$0.00026 savings on a loaf of bread, and 4c/litre gas price reduction before the stations pick up the slack. I can feel myself getting richer on this buck-a-bud-beer promise by that guy who was threatening america on camera.

            They score REALLY WELL with people who can’t play checkers and see one move ahead, and it’s a consistent pattern.

    • bowreality@lemmy.ca
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      1 day ago

      You are right. I also feel like Carney is now the adult in the room. With the economic and other threats from USA he seems the strongest one to counter and that’s what we need. At least I hope he is the force he seems to be.

      • Arkouda@lemmy.ca
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        1 day ago

        Watching the debates proved without a doubt that Carney is the only adult in the room. He was playing moderator during the debate consistently telling the other leaders to be quiet while the others were speaking and didn’t interrupt others when they were speaking.

      • corsicanguppy@lemmy.ca
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        18 hours ago

        Carney is now the adult in the room

        Justin was the baby-sitter, but Dad’s home now?

    • Crabhands@lemmy.ml
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      1 day ago

      This sums my view up. I would have voted for Pierre, if it was him vs Trudeau. But…Carney came along and seems logical and competent. Plus I can’t read or watch anything about the conservatives without them applying some grade-school level bullying tactic. Libs got my vote this time.

      • corsicanguppy@lemmy.ca
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        9 hours ago

        I would have voted for Pierre, if it was him vs Trudeau

        I despise the Conservative ‘platform’ (finger-pointing and trickle-down) so much, I think I’d vote for a box of dead skunks over Milhouse or elTool or whoever is running their show this week.

        I have a preferred party, and it’s not hard to see which that is. But, if it comes to it, I’m ABC.

      • ikidd@lemmy.world
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        19 hours ago

        I’d have agreed, until it became obvious what a Trump-fellator Polievre had become. I think if Harris had won down south, even Carney couldn’t have saved the Liberals. Charlie Angus was not wrong, the Liberals have Trump to thank if they win.

      • Arkouda@lemmy.ca
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        1 day ago

        You were perfectly ready to cut off your nose to spite your face and that is the big problem with Canadian politics that will never be solved with electoral reform alone.