Overall, Canada’s pollsters continue to be very good at their jobs
Special congratulations to the Mainstreet team this election!
Source: Polling Canada on Mastodon
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Mainstreet were an outlier and “won” only because their overweighting of conservatives happened to coincide with the vote-splitting that happened in BC and ON between Liberal and NDP.
Did all of them predict PP would lose his seat?
I don’t think any of them did riding-specific polls/predictions.
I think most aggregators had PP winning as the most likely outcome, but his defeat was within the MOE.