Prediction markets give Trump higher odds of victory than poll-based models with the election four days out.
  • Jo Miran@lemmy.ml
    0·
    3 days ago

    Also in the article.

    48%. That’s the odds FiveThirtyEight’s poll-based model gives a Harris win, compared to 52% for Trump. Other poll-based models indicate a closer split than betting markets do, and the Economist’s favors Trump by a 51% to 48% margin.