It’s not just consumer spending that influences inflation,/deflation but also institutional spending. The consumer price index is a lagging indicator. Decreases in institutional spending precede unemployment and the eventual reduced demand for consumer goods and services. And increases in the fed rate (and/or other forces which cause the cost of borrowing money for institutions/investors to rise) generally precede that.
Institutional spending will decrease as credit markets seize up. If deflation is predictable at, say, 1-2%, then it shouldn’t be a factor since credit would account for that.
If they still have a paycheck, sure. But historically, deflation leads to unemployment.
You’ve got that backwards. People get laid off, can’t buy things, then prices go down because demand is lower.
It’s not just consumer spending that influences inflation,/deflation but also institutional spending. The consumer price index is a lagging indicator. Decreases in institutional spending precede unemployment and the eventual reduced demand for consumer goods and services. And increases in the fed rate (and/or other forces which cause the cost of borrowing money for institutions/investors to rise) generally precede that.
Institutional spending will decrease as credit markets seize up. If deflation is predictable at, say, 1-2%, then it shouldn’t be a factor since credit would account for that.