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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • There is a direct line between GWB and Trump. The lies of the Bush administration and it’s denigration of the “reality-based community” laid the groundwork for Donald Trump’s Big Lies. if Al Gore won in 2000, I doubt we would have Trump today. Ron Suskind wrote all about it in the NYT back then. This article about the article is not behind their paywall:

    https://theweek.com/articles/854892/what-karl-rove-right-about-realitybased-community

    The aide said that guys like me [Suskind] were “in what we call the reality-based community,” which he defined as people who “believe that solutions emerge from your judicious study of discernible reality.” I nodded and murmured something about enlightenment principles and empiricism. He cut me off. “That’s not the way the world really works anymore,” he continued. “We’re an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you’re studying that reality — judiciously, as you will — we’ll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that’s how things will sort out. We’re history’s actors … and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do.”


  • Right, but there’s a difference in messaging between Democrats saying “Republicans were elected by the People to be in charge, and they’re doing a piss-poor job at it, and can’t organize themselves enough to keep the Government open” and “Republicans talked with us, but weren’t serious about keeping the government open”. The first clearly lays blame, while the second shares it for no good reason.

    MAGAs won’t care about the distinction (nor will Lemmings, for that matter). But all the folks who voted for Biden in 2020 but Trump in 2024 will. They did not put Republicans in charge to burn it all down like the MAGAs did, they did it because shit’s expensive and they didn’t trust Biden/Harris to fix it. Democrats need to reinforce to these voters that Republicans don’t care about egg prices at all.


  • Trump’s entire Presidency, this time around, is nothing but contempt for any institution that is not him. “L’État, c’est moi”. And Congress is letting it happen, because Republicans are more concerned with avoiding a Musk-funded primary challenge than with exercising their constitutional checks on the Presidency.

    The Courts do not seem as eager to give up all their power yet. But they move slowly, and it has yet to be seen whether they can adequately enforce their rulings if the Executive Branch simply ignores them. The Administration is actively telling the courts what they want to hear in filings, while publicly saying something different. They hate that.

    The Supreme Court may have given the President himself a shield against prosecution, but other officials are not (yet) covered similarly and an angry court can (and should) jail officials on (unpardonable) civil contempt charges until they take the courts seriously.


  • Republicans have the votes to get their agenda passed on any strict party line vote. But the margins are extremely thin. In the House in particular, right now due to vacancies Republicans can only afford to lose a single vote. If two Republicans vote with all Democrats against something, the vote fails.

    So, if Republicans can’t keep their caucus in lock-step on these votes, they would need a few Democratic votes instead. Democrats are entirely justified to demand some things in exchange for those votes. They can’t demand the world, but can demand specific, targeted things. Reining in DOGE should be item 1 for them.

    And Democrats have to be careful, because if they start these negotiations for support and they go nowhere, Republicans can go to their people and say “Democrats are shutting down the government”, and they will believe it. When in reality it is Republican infighting that is shutting it down, since they can’t keep their own caucus together on this.