Flight path of a plane that took off from Damascus shorty after news broke that Assad left the city towards unknown destination, which might have been Latakia on Syrian coast which is still under SAA control as of now. Terrain in place where flightradar stopped tracking that plane isn’t especially suited for emergency landing
Shortly after crash Syrian Army Command informs officers about fall of the regime https://xcancel.com/Alhadath_Brk/status/1865587913817305454#m
update: it’s not spoofed transponder data or controlled landing, locals reported plane crash in the area. rumors so far, but dawn will break soon in Syria and we’ll know https://xcancel.com/Schizointel/status/1865593800678130081#m
clarification: there’s some chance that Assad went out of Damascus before on other, private jet, so it’s not sure and it’s all conjecture on unproven information
update 2: there’s a claim by Russian media that Assad is in Moscow, so he would have to flee on some earlier plane, but no photos as of now. Still, looked mildly credible at the time
One of the rare cases where I hear of a death and check wikipedia to still see the word “is”. I wonder how long confirmation will take.
There may be no changes on the article yet, but there’s a lot of ongoing discussion at the Discussion page of the article:
German Wikipedia already has past tense and a small paragraph about Assad leaving the country for an unknown location.
Is it sourced properly? Because killing people on wikipedia without sources isn’t helping wikipedia’s credibility.
At least the current version of the article uses past tense when referring to his presidency but doesn’t claim he’s dead.
I watched that live. The video from the airport a few minutes before was surreal.
i watched it on flightradar, link?
https://www.flightradar24.com/SYR9218/3844aec1
Sorry I don’t remember the original source but here’s the video. https://files.catbox.moe/2n2y9q.mp4
I don’t understand the language, what the recording person is saying?
I’m an Arabic speaker and I have no idea; it’s too lacking in context to understand what he’s talking about. He keeps saying “look at this machine”, then starts walking and says “look at these people. We said the airport was friendly and no one believed us”. There are also a few interjections that don’t carry much meaning, but that’s the gist of it.
Thank you
I have no idea. It was titled something like “rebels take over Damascus airport”. Then I went on flight radar and saw the airplane taking off with no destination set.
I can’t verify how “real” it is other than I saw it on social media right before that airplane took off and saved it. Everything today moved pretty quickly.
Personally I don’t think Assad was on that flight.
well not that many planes taking off from there. either it was this one, previous one, or he’s still in Damascus
I think he left Damascus before homs fell.
The military didn’t really seem like they wanted to fight for a dictator that already abdicated his throne.
I think we just get to wait and see. 🙈
According to Israeli intelligence this was not the case. We’ll know either way very very soon
Link plz this is crazy
BBC article mentioning this flight. A tweet from FR24 says that the aircraft “was old with an older transponder generation, so some data might be bad or missing”, that it was “flying in an area of GPS jamming, so some data might be bad”, and that there was not aware of any airports in the area where the signal was lost.
Today is a day of victory for chins everywhere
yeah this also
he was done either way as damascus was handed over few hours ago
Yea, it’s amazing how fas this can go down. Been F5ing Live UA map every few hours the last few days and almost every time there were notable changes.
This also cements Russia’s loss of their only notable Mediterranean port.
port and airbase now. and SAM site if it ends up being the cause
that would be dumbest and highest profile friendly fire ever. are we sure that Girkin wasn’t exiled to Syria?
this is the kind of superpower that chronic insomnia gets you
join our matrix channel for more noncredible news
Oh come on, its not like the rebels would have any anti aircraft systems… Other then the odd Pantsir, maybe a BUK or two. And even if they did, why would they need anything like that marching on the last stronghold of the regime? /s
Buk (TEL) lacks a radar. Pantsir or MANPADS lacks range (7km altitude give or take). Either they networked radar to Buk, or made these super old S75 work, or planted bomb onboard like with Prigozhin, or something else. It’s also possible that F35 sneaked around and took it down with A2A missile, not that we’ll ever see it
7km altitude give or take
The ADS-B data puts it as descending between 23 and 22 thousand feet. That’s below 7km.
22-23k ft would be 6.7-7km, i did only mental math at that time
Holy shit! The Russians shot him out of the sky??
that would be pretty stupid so it’s definitely an option
we can guess that 1. assad was on that plane, and 2. it did something that looked like a bad malfunction and 3. there are rumors of plane crash in the area. maybe it was some stupid reason like mechanical malfunction, or maybe friendly fire from russian S300 at Tartus, or maybe unfriendly fire from whatever SAM HTS now has. or something else
Or ground crew sabotage.
Unlikely but not impossible IMO.
If you want revenge so much you take out a whole plane, you’d done it earlier. But again, maybe there was a lot of panic so surveillance was not that good, and feeling the imminent collaps could have pushed someone over the limit. But I wonder what one man can do in a situation like that.
So very unlikely until more information I guess.
Yeah, Assad has killed a lot of his own people even without getting into Islamist stuff.
The plane flew over opposition control territory in Homs, and then it started losing altitude very fast. I think the Russians didn’t have the chance of doing anything funny this time.
I did hear it here first, you’re right.
No, I heard it first here.
We heard it here first, comrade.
I didn’t. OP is wrong.
Well you did hear it here first. It’s just it wasn’t true.
No, I didn’t hear it here first!
You know when NCD has actual writeups and citations shit is getting real. Getting Wagner coup vibes, what a time to be alive where we can glimpse into the sausage of geopolitics being made in real time.
Idk, it feels a little too credible for me…
Curious if this is just another straw, or maybe enough to motivate Russian citizens to start dealing with all this hay.
Holy fuck lol. I sorta called it.
well it still could have been friendly fire
I didn’t say that it would be insurgent fire.
Just that Weak Chin MaGee would be shot down.
Good example of why you don’t trust internet “journalism.”
It’s just a rumour until you get confirmation from the AP. People tend to think the mainstream media is hiding things, but it’s usually down to them not publishing unconfirmed rumours while the internet will. And here’s an example of why that is. Many of these things wind up being false. It’s better to hear about what actually happened two days later than spend time forming opinions about what might have happened right now.
you don’t have to get AP article for every claim, but it helps. if you can get geolocated footage, that’s still a bit better than just rumors, many of these maps work this way. this time a few things were missing
You’re giving journalists way to much credit. The Pulitzer Prize was named after a man who started the Spanish American war by making shit up.
It’s better to hear about what actually happened two days later than spend time forming opinions about what might have happened right now
Lmao do you know where you are??? This is NCD, I have recklessly violent opinions over shit that only exists in my head.
*camera pans warthunder arguing over about millimeters of handrail on a 20 year old tank *
Brother delet this
nah
it seemed plausible when it happened. i still think it’s likely that that plane crashed, there’s a red dot on FIRMS map for 8.12 around that area that wasn’t there before or after
I hope to see trump flee to Russia one day.
No! No. No-no-no. Take him and Putin as a gift. Volodin says Putin is national treasure.
I hope he doesn’t get the chance to abscond and is held accountable for his crimes. Not likely to happen but one can dream.
Yeah but planes tend to fall out of the sky for no reason around there